Winning in Virginia?

I have a question for others...

Last weekend I helped canvass in the Saratoga precinct of Fairfax County, in Northern Virginia, what appears to be shaping up as the strongest Democratic area of the state.

In 2000, this precinct went barely for Bush, at about 52%.  Last weekend though, I polled 35 voters over two hours at their doors on three streets.  The canvass was completely nuetral in tone and there was persuasion involved.  The results:

Kerry supporters -- 21
Bush supporters -- 9
Refused Answers -- 3
Undecideds -- 2

This was in the wealthier, more affluent part of the precinct (it's all middle to upper-middle class area).

I was really surprised.  If the precinct breaks even close to that trend (say 60-40 for Kerry) and the other big swing precincts in Fairfax County, VA break the same way, the largest jurisdiction in Virginia, that went 49-47 Bush-Gore in 2000, may capture about 55-58% or more of the vote for Kerry.

If that happens in VA, JFK WINS VA, people.

Can Kerry be winning in Virginia (Zogby has us down by 2%)?



Display:


Winning Va would be sweet (none / 0)

I lived in Charlottesville for 3 years.

If B-C loses Virginia then we are talking national landslide.

Maybe the Kerry-Edwards campaign should do what Rove has done in NJ, and have K-E campaigning in the Old Dominion ....  DC suburbs, Richmond, Tidewater and Piedmont in one day

woowee ...

by aruac on Mon Oct 18, 2004 at 06:24:18 PM EST

I lived in VA for three years... (none / 0)

...Culpeper, to be exact, 1994-1997.  I'd love to see VA go blue.

by KTinOhio on Mon Oct 18, 2004 at 07:20:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

sound the bugle (none / 0)

I believe that on November 2nd we will hear a bugle-charge sound throughout this country, at which time, over the hill will ride the cavalry... in the form of millions of first time voters and every once-in-a-while voters.  Record turnout is Kerry's only hope.  The final two weeks of unrelentless lies distributed via free prime time media by the Bush camp, unfortunately will influence many weak minded voters in this country... and  Kerry's just not able to counterpunch like the Big Dog.  The Swift Boat Liars had a surprisingly strong negative effect in early fall, and the smear campaign that Rove has planned from now till election day will make that pale by comparison.  A record number of voters will turn out this year to counter all of Rove's dirty tricks.  They have to... for every yin, there's a yang!
by Slapmaxwell on Mon Oct 18, 2004 at 11:59:07 PM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.